Norwich City vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
68.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
NOR
1 - 0
SOU
33%
27%
40%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
NOR
2 - 0
ASV
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
TOT
3 - 0
NOR
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
MUD
1 - 2
NOR
66%
21%
14%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
NOR
1 - 1
EVE
29%
25%
46%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
EVE
2 - 1
MAC
21%
23%
56%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
WAT
1 - 2
MAC
12%
20%
68%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2015 |
LEI
0 - 0
MAC
18%
23%
59%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
MAC
4 - 1
SUN
86%
10%
4%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2015 |
ARS
2 - 1
MAC
31%
25%
44%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |