Norwich City vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
QPR
1 - 2
NOR
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 1
FUL
40%
28%
32%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2011 |
NOR
0 - 2
TOT
20%
23%
57%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
WOL
2 - 2
NOR
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
EVE
1 - 1
NOR
70%
18%
12%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
LEE
2 - 1
BUR
53%
24%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
BUR
1 - 0
HUL
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
BUR
3 - 0
DON
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
BHA
0 - 1
BUR
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
BUR
0 - 1
OPA
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |