Norwich City vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1976 |
NOR
1 - 2
BRA
82%
11%
6%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1976 |
LEE
0 - 3
NOR
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1976 |
EVE
1 - 1
NOR
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1976 |
NOR
3 - 1
BUR
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1975 |
NOR
1 - 1
WOL
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1976 |
ARS
1 - 0
SHE
56%
24%
20%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1976 |
LEI
2 - 1
ARS
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1976 |
ARS
0 - 0
ASV
58%
23%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1975 |
ARS
2 - 0
QPR
45%
27%
28%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1975 |
IPS
2 - 0
ARS
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |