Norwich City vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.7%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
13.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
48.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.2%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1972 |
WHU
4 - 0
NOR
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1972 |
NOR
1 - 1
SHE
40%
28%
32%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1972 |
LEE
2 - 0
NOR
82%
13%
5%
|
78 | 92 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1972 |
NOR
2 - 0
STO
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1972 |
NOR
1 - 0
DER
27%
30%
43%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1972 |
ARS
0 - 0
LIV
50%
28%
22%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1972 |
NEW
2 - 1
ARS
36%
30%
35%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1972 |
ARS
1 - 1
CHL
51%
26%
23%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1972 |
ARS
1 - 0
WHU
68%
20%
12%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1972 |
MUD
0 - 0
ARS
39%
28%
33%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |