FA Cup Previa 2
Global 3-2
Norton United FC vs Shildon AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
26.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norton United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
CHA
5 - 0
NOR
37%
24%
40%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 0
LOU
55%
21%
24%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
RUN
2 - 5
NOR
39%
23%
38%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2014 |
ROM
2 - 3
NOR
35%
23%
42%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
NOR
5 - 1
COA
16%
20%
64%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | +7 |
Matches
Shildon AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
STO
0 - 2
SHI
74%
16%
10%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
SHI
0 - 0
STO
21%
22%
57%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
SHI
1 - 0
STA
29%
23%
48%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +3 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
WHI
1 - 2
SHI
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
SHI
1 - 1
WHI
19%
20%
61%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | +1 |