Norton United FC vs Gateshead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
62.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norton United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
NOR
7 - 4
BRI
79%
13%
8%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
SHI
1 - 2
NOR
39%
24%
38%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 1
SHI
50%
23%
27%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
CHA
5 - 0
NOR
37%
24%
40%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 0
LOU
55%
21%
24%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ALD
1 - 2
GAT
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
GAT
4 - 0
GAI
74%
16%
10%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
GAT
0 - 2
BAR
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 1
GAT
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
GAT
2 - 0
ALF
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |