Northwestern vs Penn State analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
70.8%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northwestern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
NOR
1 - 1
WIS
84%
11%
6%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
MSS
2 - 0
NOR
49%
21%
30%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
OSE
4 - 2
NOR
63%
18%
18%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
NOR
1 - 0
IDH
8%
14%
78%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | +3 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
WIS
2 - 5
NOR
37%
22%
42%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Penn State
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
PSN
4 - 2
RSK
70%
16%
14%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
PSN
0 - 1
MSS
83%
11%
6%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
RSK
1 - 2
PSN
29%
22%
49%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
PSN
3 - 2
MLT
75%
15%
11%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
PSN
2 - 3
PFR
52%
21%
27%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |