Northern Virginia vs Richmond Kickers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
62.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Virginia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2022 |
LFC
1 - 3
NOR
9%
14%
77%
|
36 | 7 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
NOR
3 - 0
RCN
77%
13%
9%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
WCU
2 - 0
NOR
71%
18%
11%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
NOR
4 - 2
LEH
78%
13%
9%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
RCN
0 - 1
NOR
27%
21%
52%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Richmond Kickers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
RIC
4 - 0
TUC
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
TUC
1 - 0
RIC
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
TUC
4 - 2
RIC
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
OMA
2 - 0
RIC
54%
26%
21%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
RIC
1 - 0
FMA
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |