CFU Championship Last 16
Global 1-6
Northern United vs WBC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
64.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2005 |
NUN
2 - 4
RHO
9%
16%
75%
|
17 | 48 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2005 |
RHO
3 - 1
NUN
83%
12%
5%
|
17 | 48 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
NUN
1 - 0
VIC
27%
24%
50%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2005 |
VIC
1 - 1
NUN
73%
15%
12%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
PVI
0 - 5
NUN
75%
15%
11%
|
12 | 34 | 22 | +2 |
Matches
WBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
WBC
2 - 0
EXC
53%
21%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
TBR
0 - 3
WBC
49%
22%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
WBC
2 - 1
TRA
59%
20%
20%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
WBC
3 - 3
BOS
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
RHO
2 - 4
WBC
54%
21%
24%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |