Northern Rovers vs Fencibles United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.5%
61%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
NRF
11 - 0
COL
37%
22%
42%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
FEN
3 - 0
NRF
44%
22%
34%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
NRF
5 - 0
MAN
15%
17%
69%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | +3 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
WHU
3 - 0
NRF
71%
16%
13%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Fencibles United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
NAV
0 - 8
FEN
12%
15%
72%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
FEN
2 - 2
EAS
7%
12%
81%
|
10 | 44 | 34 | +3 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
FEN
3 - 0
NRF
44%
22%
34%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
FEN
2 - 4
CLA
59%
19%
21%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
FEN
1 - 5
EAS
1%
4%
95%
|
11 | 70 | 59 | 0 |