Northern Illinois Huskies vs Bowling Green Falcons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
31.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Illinois Huskies
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
NIH
2 - 0
WVM
38%
23%
40%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
WMB
0 - 3
NIH
51%
21%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
BGF
2 - 1
NIH
55%
21%
24%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
NIH
0 - 2
WVM
41%
22%
37%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
SIU
3 - 2
NIH
22%
20%
58%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Bowling Green Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
BGF
4 - 0
GST
81%
12%
7%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
BGF
3 - 2
GSP
56%
21%
24%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
BGF
1 - 2
MHK
35%
23%
42%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
BGF
2 - 1
NIH
55%
21%
24%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
BGF
0 - 0
WVM
43%
22%
35%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |