Northern Fury vs Redlands United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
50.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
BRR
0 - 0
NOF
83%
12%
6%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
QUE
4 - 0
NOF
90%
8%
2%
|
13 | 44 | 31 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
FNQ
1 - 3
NOF
90%
7%
2%
|
10 | 28 | 18 | +3 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
PAL
2 - 1
NOF
90%
8%
3%
|
11 | 27 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
NOF
0 - 1
SWQ
10%
15%
75%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Redlands United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
RED
0 - 3
OLY
10%
14%
76%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
BRI
5 - 1
RED
89%
8%
3%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2018 |
RED
5 - 5
BRI
16%
18%
65%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
RED
6 - 2
SUN
93%
5%
2%
|
17 | 6 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
BRR
3 - 0
RED
36%
22%
42%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |