Northern Fury vs Gold Coast City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
67%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
FNQ
4 - 1
NOF
80%
13%
8%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
NOF
1 - 3
WES
69%
16%
15%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SUN
3 - 1
NOF
47%
22%
31%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
OLY
4 - 1
NOF
80%
12%
8%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
SWQ
2 - 1
NOF
9%
15%
76%
|
24 | 5 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Gold Coast City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 1
MOR
56%
21%
24%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
FNQ
1 - 1
PAL
40%
22%
39%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 1
BRI
51%
21%
29%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
WES
2 - 6
PAL
14%
17%
69%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 2
RED
51%
21%
29%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |