Northern Fury vs Moreton City Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
61.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
OLY
1 - 1
NOF
90%
7%
3%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
MAO
1 - 3
NOF
27%
21%
52%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
BRI
7 - 1
NOF
90%
7%
3%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
NOF
0 - 2
PAL
12%
15%
73%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
NOF
2 - 1
SWQ
47%
20%
33%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Moreton City Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2017 |
HPH
1 - 2
MOR
47%
21%
31%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
PAL
1 - 1
MOR
70%
18%
12%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
MOR
4 - 0
SWQ
79%
13%
9%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2017 |
ALB
1 - 2
MOR
53%
20%
27%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
SUN
0 - 7
MOR
11%
19%
70%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | 0 |