Northern Fury vs FNQ Heat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
72.3%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.7%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
WES
3 - 3
NOF
72%
15%
12%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
NOF
3 - 3
SUN
24%
19%
57%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
NOF
1 - 6
OLY
12%
14%
74%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
NOF
1 - 3
SWQ
32%
21%
47%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
NOF
1 - 3
MOR
18%
19%
63%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
FNQ Heat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
PAL
4 - 0
FNQ
50%
21%
29%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
FNQ
3 - 2
WES
82%
11%
7%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
FNQ
4 - 2
FRE
83%
11%
6%
|
32 | 9 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
SUN
1 - 3
FNQ
23%
20%
57%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
FNQ
4 - 5
OLY
63%
17%
20%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |