Northern Colorado vs Union Omaha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
25.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
9º
3º
65
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Colorado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
NCO
3 - 4
LSC
85%
11%
4%
|
58 | 22 | 36 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
CHA
4 - 1
NCO
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 0
NCO
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
NCO
3 - 1
RIC
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
NCO
2 - 0
OMA
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Union Omaha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
OMA
3 - 1
OKS
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
OMA
2 - 0
LSC
85%
11%
4%
|
57 | 22 | 35 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
OMA
3 - 2
TOR
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
LSC
3 - 0
OMA
10%
19%
71%
|
56 | 19 | 37 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
OKS
1 - 2
OMA
32%
26%
42%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |