Northern Colorado vs Union Omaha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
25%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
9º
3º
65
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Colorado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
OKS
2 - 4
NCO
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
CRW
1 - 1
NCO
31%
26%
44%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
NCO
3 - 2
CHA
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
NCO
1 - 0
CVF
65%
21%
15%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
NCO
0 - 0
OKS
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Union Omaha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
OMA
4 - 1
RIC
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
CVF
0 - 1
OMA
29%
26%
45%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
OMA
2 - 0
TOR
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
OMA
1 - 1
OKS
58%
23%
20%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
GTR
1 - 1
OMA
36%
28%
36%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |