Northern Colorado vs Tucson analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Colorado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CVF
0 - 1
NCO
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
NCO
1 - 1
GTR
42%
26%
33%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
NCO
2 - 1
OMA
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
TOR
3 - 1
NCO
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
NCO
4 - 1
CAR
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
TUC
0 - 2
CVF
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
GTR
2 - 2
TUC
48%
26%
26%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
TUC
2 - 1
CRW
33%
27%
41%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
TOR
1 - 1
TUC
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
TUC
3 - 0
OMA
24%
25%
51%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +2 |