Northern Colorado vs Richmond Kickers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
2º
9º
3º
24
7º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Colorado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FMA
0 - 1
NCO
32%
28%
40%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
OKS
1 - 0
NCO
30%
28%
43%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
NCO
0 - 1
CHA
55%
24%
22%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
NCO
2 - 2
CVF
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
RIC
0 - 2
NCO
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Richmond Kickers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
LSC
2 - 1
RIC
24%
23%
53%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
CRW
3 - 1
RIC
55%
22%
23%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
RIC
2 - 1
FMA
33%
27%
40%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
RIC
0 - 2
NCO
29%
27%
44%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
CVF
1 - 1
RIC
31%
24%
45%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |