Northern Colorado vs Lexington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
2º
9º
3º
21
4º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Colorado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
NCO
3 - 0
GTR
55%
24%
22%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 1
NCO
38%
27%
36%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
NCO
3 - 1
RIC
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FMA
0 - 1
NCO
32%
28%
40%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
OKS
1 - 0
NCO
30%
28%
43%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Lexington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LSC
0 - 0
FMA
26%
24%
51%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CVF
1 - 3
LSC
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
3 - 3
LSC
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
LSC
2 - 1
RIC
24%
23%
53%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | +4 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
LSC
1 - 2
TOR
19%
21%
60%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | -1 |