Northern Colorado vs Lexington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.8%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
14%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19.8%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
4.1%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+54%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
9º
3º
32
6º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Colorado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
CHA
4 - 1
NCO
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 0
NCO
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
NCO
3 - 1
RIC
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
NCO
2 - 0
OMA
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
OKS
2 - 4
NCO
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lexington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
OMA
2 - 0
LSC
85%
11%
4%
|
21 | 57 | 36 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
LSC
2 - 2
RIC
10%
19%
71%
|
20 | 53 | 33 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
LSC
3 - 0
OMA
10%
19%
71%
|
19 | 56 | 37 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
CVF
2 - 1
LSC
86%
10%
4%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 1
LSC
87%
10%
4%
|
19 | 53 | 34 | 0 |