Northern Colorado vs Chattanooga Red Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
2º
9º
3º
18
5º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Colorado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
NCO
2 - 3
OMA
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
NCO
5 - 1
LSC
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 40 | 25 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
NCO
3 - 0
GTR
55%
24%
22%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 1
NCO
38%
27%
36%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
NCO
3 - 1
RIC
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Chattanooga Red Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CRW
2 - 5
GTR
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CRW
1 - 3
FMA
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
OKS
4 - 1
CRW
44%
25%
31%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
CRW
0 - 1
SPV
81%
12%
7%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CRW
1 - 2
CVF
69%
17%
14%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |