Northern Colorado vs Charlotte Independence analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
3º
9º
5º
29
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 45 |
1º
|
85.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 37 |
2º
|
17% | |
|
|
2º
|
29 | 37 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 36 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 36 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 36 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 30 |
7º
|
65.5% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 25 |
8º
|
40% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 23 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 23 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 21 |
11º
|
33% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 18 |
12º
|
70.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
99.5% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Colorado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
NCO
2 - 2
CVF
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
RIC
0 - 2
NCO
29%
27%
44%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2024 |
NCO
2 - 1
OKS
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
OMA
1 - 2
NCO
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CRW
1 - 1
NCO
33%
27%
40%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Charlotte Independence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
GTR
2 - 0
CHA
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
CHA
4 - 2
CRW
65%
20%
16%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
TOR
53%
23%
24%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 4
OMA
32%
26%
41%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
AFC
3 - 0
CHA
81%
13%
6%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |