Northern Colorado vs North Carolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Colorado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
GTR
0 - 2
NCO
50%
26%
24%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
NCO
1 - 3
FMA
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
NCO
1 - 2
TUC
63%
20%
17%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
OMA
1 - 1
NCO
57%
24%
19%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
NCO
2 - 0
TOR
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
TUC
43%
24%
33%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
FMA
0 - 0
CAR
64%
21%
14%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
OMA
4 - 1
CAR
65%
21%
14%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 1
CVF
43%
24%
34%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
FMA
30%
25%
45%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |