Northern AFC vs Waihopai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
9.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
NAF
1 - 2
ROW
21%
18%
61%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
GIA
5 - 1
NAF
62%
18%
20%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
QPA
1 - 4
NAF
67%
17%
16%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
NAF
13 - 2
OBA
78%
13%
9%
|
16 | 6 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
HAW
4 - 3
NAF
94%
5%
2%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | 0 |