Northern AFC vs Mosgiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
3%
3-1
5%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
2.3%
5-4
0.6%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
17.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.9%
4-4
1.2%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.5%
38.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
2.1%
4-5
0.5%
5-6
0.1%
6-7
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
NAF
12 - 0
WAF
77%
13%
10%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
NAF
1 - 2
ROW
21%
18%
61%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
GIA
5 - 1
NAF
62%
18%
20%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
QPA
1 - 4
NAF
67%
17%
16%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
NAF
13 - 2
OBA
78%
13%
9%
|
16 | 6 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mosgiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
THI
0 - 15
MOS
12%
14%
74%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
MOS
0 - 4
OTU
17%
17%
66%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
MOS
7 - 2
NHE
82%
12%
7%
|
17 | 6 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CHR
10 - 0
MOS
89%
8%
4%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
MOS
0 - 5
COA
32%
21%
47%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |