NorthEast United vs Mumbai City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
35.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
9º
5º
31
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 53 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 44 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 43 |
3º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 38 |
4º
|
50% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 36 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 35 |
6º
|
32% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 35 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 31 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 31 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 28 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 25 |
11º
|
58% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 20 |
12º
|
62% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 15 |
13º
|
74.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0.5% | 5% |
|
Play-offs
|
50.5% | 89.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
49% | 5.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NorthEast United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2025 |
DEL
2 - 2
NOR
56%
22%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
NOR
4 - 1
HYD
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
KER
0 - 0
NOR
43%
24%
32%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
NOR
1 - 1
GOA
35%
25%
41%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
NOR
1 - 1
MIN
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mumbai City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
MUM
0 - 0
EAS
50%
26%
25%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
MUM
3 - 0
MOH
65%
22%
13%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
MIN
1 - 1
MUM
29%
25%
47%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
MUM
0 - 3
JAM
48%
26%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2025 |
EAS
2 - 3
MUM
37%
25%
38%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |