Northcote City vs Richmond analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
24.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northcote City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2016 |
BUL
1 - 1
NOR
40%
23%
38%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
AVH
0 - 0
NOR
49%
21%
30%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
NOR
3 - 1
POR
55%
21%
24%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
HEU
2 - 0
NOR
81%
12%
6%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
NOR
1 - 1
GRE
19%
22%
60%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Richmond
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2016 |
RIC
0 - 1
HEU
16%
20%
64%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 1
RIC
77%
15%
8%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2016 |
RIC
2 - 3
OAK
29%
24%
47%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2016 |
RIC
0 - 1
PAS
50%
22%
28%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
MEL
2 - 0
RIC
62%
21%
17%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |