Northampton vs Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
58.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
NOR
3 - 3
SOU
45%
25%
31%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
NOR
2 - 1
ROT
40%
25%
36%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
ROC
0 - 0
NOR
55%
23%
23%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
NOR
2 - 1
CAR
19%
22%
60%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | +2 |
| 31 Jul. 2012 |
NOR
3 - 4
DER
26%
24%
50%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
WOL
1 - 1
DER
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
WOL
3 - 1
BAR
77%
15%
7%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
LEE
1 - 0
WOL
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
WOL
1 - 1
ALD
82%
13%
6%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 0
WOL
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |