Northampton vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
55.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
NOR
2 - 3
BUR
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
OXF
2 - 0
NOR
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 1
CRE
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
PLY
4 - 1
NOR
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
NOR
2 - 7
STF
24%
26%
49%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
GUL
1 - 0
SWI
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
SWI
3 - 0
MOR
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
BRO
1 - 1
SWI
25%
27%
48%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
SOU
1 - 2
SWI
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
COL
0 - 1
SWI
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |