Northampton vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
22.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
NOR
4 - 0
STO
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
POS
1 - 0
NOR
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2009 |
MIL
1 - 0
NOR
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
NOR
1 - 1
TRA
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
CHE
0 - 1
NOR
31%
27%
43%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
SWI
3 - 0
HER
60%
22%
19%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
SWI
3 - 0
SOU
36%
25%
39%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
LEE
1 - 0
SWI
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2009 |
COL
3 - 2
SWI
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
SWI
1 - 1
MKD
29%
25%
46%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |