Northampton vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
25.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2007 |
DON
2 - 2
NOR
56%
25%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2007 |
NOR
1 - 1
HUR
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
NOR
1 - 0
CHE
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
BPO
4 - 1
NOR
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
NOR
2 - 1
SCU
29%
28%
42%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2007 |
SWI
1 - 1
WAL
48%
27%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
BRO
1 - 0
SWI
44%
28%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
SWI
2 - 0
MAN
64%
22%
15%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
BCF
0 - 1
SWI
32%
29%
39%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
SWI
2 - 1
GUL
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |