Northampton vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
53.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2001 |
NOR
0 - 1
OLD
31%
28%
42%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2001 |
NOR
2 - 3
COL
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2001 |
BRE
3 - 0
NOR
68%
20%
12%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
NOR
1 - 0
BOU
31%
27%
43%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
CAN
1 - 0
NOR
44%
23%
32%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2002 |
STO
0 - 1
EVE
34%
27%
40%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2002 |
STO
2 - 0
BPO
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2001 |
HUR
0 - 0
STO
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2001 |
TRA
2 - 2
STO
51%
23%
26%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2001 |
STO
1 - 1
CAR
55%
24%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |