Northampton vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
6.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.4%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
23.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
NOR
2 - 0
MAN
48%
27%
25%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
HAR
2 - 1
NOR
40%
27%
34%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
NOR
1 - 1
WAL
48%
26%
27%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
NOR
0 - 2
SUT
42%
29%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SAL
2 - 2
NOR
45%
27%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
OLD
3 - 0
STE
43%
28%
30%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
STE
2 - 2
EXE
31%
27%
43%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
OXF
1 - 2
STE
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
STE
2 - 0
HAR
34%
26%
40%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
TOW
0 - 0
STE
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |