Northampton vs Shrewsbury Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
49.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
LUT
1 - 0
NOR
67%
19%
15%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
GIL
4 - 3
NOR
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 1
ROT
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 3
HER
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 1
NOR
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Shrewsbury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
NEW
0 - 1
STF
26%
24%
50%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
DAG
0 - 2
STF
28%
26%
47%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
STF
0 - 0
AFC
50%
26%
25%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
STF
1 - 0
STA
61%
24%
16%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
ROT
1 - 1
STF
30%
27%
43%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |