Northampton vs Shrewsbury Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2005 |
WYC
0 - 1
NOR
45%
25%
30%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
NOR
2 - 2
SWA
49%
26%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
RUS
3 - 2
NOR
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2005 |
ROC
1 - 0
NOR
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
NOR
1 - 0
MAC
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Shrewsbury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2005 |
STF
0 - 0
CAM
61%
22%
18%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
LIN
2 - 0
STF
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
STF
0 - 1
MAC
41%
26%
32%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
MAN
1 - 1
STF
50%
25%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
STF
5 - 0
CHE
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |