Northampton vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
33.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
CHE
2 - 2
NOR
57%
24%
19%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2002 |
NOR
2 - 1
POS
40%
28%
32%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2002 |
TRA
2 - 0
NOR
76%
16%
9%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2002 |
NOR
2 - 2
QPR
35%
27%
38%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2002 |
SWI
2 - 1
NOR
60%
23%
18%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
POR
1 - 0
QPR
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
POR
4 - 1
CHE
54%
25%
22%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2002 |
CAM
0 - 1
POR
37%
28%
36%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
STO
0 - 1
POR
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2002 |
POR
1 - 1
WYC
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |