Northampton vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
AFC
1 - 1
NOR
36%
25%
39%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 2
NOR
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
NOR
3 - 1
ROC
56%
22%
22%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
ROT
3 - 1
NOR
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2013 |
GIL
2 - 0
NOR
56%
24%
21%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
PLY
0 - 1
OXF
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
ALD
1 - 2
PLY
52%
26%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
PLY
0 - 0
DAG
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
PLY
0 - 0
STA
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
PLY
2 - 1
MOR
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |