Northampton vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
23%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
BUR
0 - 1
NOR
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
STA
2 - 1
NOR
59%
22%
20%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
DAG
0 - 1
NOR
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
NOR
3 - 1
ALD
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
NOR
3 - 2
BRO
39%
25%
37%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
PLY
1 - 1
BRO
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
PLY
1 - 0
STF
21%
26%
53%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
ROT
1 - 0
PLY
55%
24%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
AFC
1 - 2
PLY
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
PLY
0 - 1
GIL
32%
26%
43%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |