Northampton vs Oxford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
26%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
DAG
0 - 3
NOR
51%
26%
24%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
NOR
0 - 1
OPA
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
WYC
1 - 1
NOR
47%
27%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 0
BUR
35%
27%
38%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
STA
0 - 1
NOR
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
OXF
1 - 2
STA
48%
27%
25%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
SCU
1 - 0
OXF
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
OXF
0 - 1
YOR
37%
29%
35%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
PLY
0 - 2
OXF
49%
26%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
OXF
0 - 2
FLE
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |