Northampton vs Oxford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
33.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CRE
1 - 1
NOR
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
NOR
0 - 0
PLY
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
BUR
0 - 1
NOR
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
STA
2 - 1
NOR
59%
22%
20%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
DAG
0 - 1
NOR
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
OXF
1 - 2
MOR
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
STA
0 - 2
OXF
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CHE
0 - 0
OXF
41%
28%
32%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
OXF
1 - 0
AFC
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
OXF
2 - 1
ROT
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |