Northampton vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
30.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
WAL
1 - 0
NOR
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
NOR
2 - 0
PLY
26%
28%
46%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
BCF
2 - 3
NOR
41%
25%
35%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
BPO
3 - 0
NOR
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
POS
2 - 0
NOR
74%
16%
10%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
OLD
0 - 0
DON
32%
26%
41%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
OLD
0 - 3
SOU
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
AFC
2 - 2
OLD
50%
26%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
ROC
0 - 0
OLD
59%
24%
18%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
OLD
1 - 1
GIL
43%
25%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |