Northampton vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
FLE
3 - 0
NOR
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
SOU
2 - 2
NOR
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
NOR
2 - 1
SWI
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
NOR
3 - 1
CHE
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
WAL
2 - 1
NOR
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
OLD
0 - 0
MIL
19%
24%
56%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
SWI
0 - 0
OLD
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
OLD
1 - 0
CHA
35%
28%
37%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
OLD
3 - 2
COV
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2017 |
MKD
1 - 0
OLD
68%
20%
13%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |