Northampton vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
36.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2007 |
NOR
3 - 0
MIL
37%
28%
36%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
NOR
3 - 2
CUM
38%
29%
33%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
TRA
1 - 1
NOR
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2007 |
YEO
0 - 0
NOR
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
NOR
2 - 0
CHE
47%
28%
25%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
OLD
0 - 3
BRI
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2007 |
OLD
0 - 2
WOL
42%
26%
33%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
SCU
1 - 1
OLD
49%
26%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
WOL
2 - 2
OLD
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2007 |
OLD
5 - 0
NTT
49%
27%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |