Northampton vs Norwich City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
54.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
NOR
0 - 1
GUL
36%
27%
37%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
MAN
2 - 1
NOR
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
NOR
2 - 2
PLY
32%
29%
39%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2003 |
TRA
4 - 0
NOR
74%
17%
9%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2003 |
NOR
0 - 3
STO
36%
27%
37%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
BRA
2 - 2
NOR
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
NOR
1 - 1
PNE
41%
27%
33%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
LEI
1 - 1
NOR
64%
21%
14%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2003 |
NOR
0 - 3
WOL
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
WAL
0 - 0
NOR
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |