Northampton vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
21.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
NOR
3 - 1
WYC
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
STA
2 - 4
NOR
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2012 |
YOR
1 - 1
NOR
58%
24%
19%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
NOR
2 - 0
POR
30%
26%
44%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
NOR
0 - 1
BRA
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
GIL
2 - 1
MOR
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2012 |
ROC
0 - 1
MOR
51%
23%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
MOR
4 - 1
BAR
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 0
STA
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 1
ROC
43%
24%
33%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |