League Two Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Northampton vs Mansfield Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
37.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
MAN
2 - 1
NOR
49%
23%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 3
NOR
23%
27%
50%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
NOR
1 - 1
EXE
31%
28%
41%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
LEY
2 - 4
NOR
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
NOR
3 - 0
TOW
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mansfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
MAN
2 - 1
NOR
49%
23%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
MAN
2 - 2
FOR
44%
26%
31%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2022 |
SAL
2 - 2
MAN
43%
27%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
MAN
2 - 0
STE
67%
21%
12%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
MAN
2 - 0
CRA
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |