Northampton vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
70.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26%
0-2
15%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
NOR
2 - 1
YOR
45%
27%
28%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2004 |
ROT
1 - 2
NOR
70%
19%
12%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
GUL
3 - 1
NOR
56%
24%
21%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
NOR
1 - 1
ROT
23%
25%
52%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2003 |
NOR
1 - 0
CHE
39%
27%
34%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
WOL
1 - 0
MUD
11%
20%
70%
|
94 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
MUD
0 - 0
NEW
71%
17%
12%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2004 |
BOL
1 - 2
MUD
14%
21%
65%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
ASV
1 - 2
MUD
18%
24%
58%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2003 |
MID
0 - 1
MUD
15%
22%
63%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |