Northampton vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
52.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2002 |
OLD
4 - 0
NOR
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
NOR
1 - 2
CHE
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
NOT
2 - 1
NOR
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
NOR
1 - 2
BRE
32%
26%
42%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
PLY
0 - 0
NOR
59%
24%
18%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2002 |
CRE
0 - 1
LUT
45%
25%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
LUT
1 - 1
WIG
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
OLD
1 - 2
LUT
54%
23%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
LUT
2 - 1
CHE
67%
20%
14%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
STO
2 - 3
LUT
35%
25%
40%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |