Northampton vs Lincoln City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2005 |
COL
3 - 2
NOR
46%
25%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
NOR
4 - 0
BRO
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
CHE
0 - 0
NOR
38%
26%
37%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
WYC
1 - 3
NOR
50%
23%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
NOR
0 - 0
GRI
50%
25%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2005 |
CHE
4 - 1
LIN
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2005 |
MKD
2 - 1
LIN
48%
24%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
LIN
1 - 1
STF
54%
25%
22%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
LIN
1 - 1
MKD
49%
24%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
ROC
1 - 2
LIN
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |